Trump Leaves Kamala In The Dust
In recent years, it’s been uncommon for Republican presidential candidates to top national polls, but this election cycle is proving to be different, largely due to Donald Trump’s MAGA movement. Recent data from the RealClear Politics polling average reveals that Trump is not just competing but leading against his Democratic opponent, Kamala Harris, among likely voters.
Two notable polls showcase this shift: the TIPP poll shows Trump at 49% compared to Harris’s 47%, while the Atlas Intel poll places Trump ahead at 51% against Harris’s 48%. This surge is significant for Republicans, who have historically struggled to capture the popular vote due to the Democratic strongholds in states like California, New York, and Illinois, where registered Democrats vastly outnumber Republicans.
While Democrats often emphasize the importance of the popular vote, conservatives remind us that the United States operates as a constitutional republic. The president is determined by Electoral College votes, which are influenced by the states’ outcomes rather than the national popular vote. This system can work in favor of Republicans, particularly when they focus on key battleground states.
The TIPP Insights tracking poll noted that Trump has experienced a “dramatic momentum shift” with only weeks remaining until Election Day on November 5. Even the left-leaning Washington Post has acknowledged TIPP as one of the most accurate pollsters from the 2020 election, reinforcing confidence among Trump’s supporters.
Political analysts, including adviser Dick Morris and pollsters John and Jim McLaughlin, stress that even a small deficit in national polling can signal a Republican victory in the Electoral College. The pivotal states are where the race will truly be won or lost. Currently, Trump is leading in all seven battleground states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—according to the RealClear Politics polling average, which shows Trump with a narrow 1-point lead overall.
These recent developments suggest that Trump’s base is energized and mobilized, positioning the GOP for a potential victory come November.
