Democrats are panicking.
Recent polling suggests that former President Donald Trump has a narrow advantage over Vice President Kamala Harris among early voters in essential battleground states, indicating a hopeful trend for Republicans as the election approaches.
A recent Harvard CAPS/Harris poll reveals that Trump secured 48% of early votes in these crucial areas, while Harris garnered 47%. An additional 5% of respondents either supported a different candidate or had not yet voted. Mark Penn, co-director of the poll, emphasized that Trump’s focused approach in swing states is yielding positive results, as he leads Harris by 2 points among the overall voter population in these areas.
Despite Trump’s gains in battleground states, Harris holds an 8-point lead among early voters nationwide, receiving 51% compared to Trump’s 43%. Nationwide, 45% of voters indicated plans to vote early, while 50% intend to participate on Election Day.
With the election less than a month away, attention is sharply focused on several swing states that will be pivotal in determining the next president. Both candidates are ramping up their campaign efforts in states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania, where recent polls reflect a highly competitive race.
On a national scale, aggregated polling data from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points, with both candidates approaching 50% support among registered voters. However, the Harvard CAPS/Harris poll indicates a tighter contest, with Harris leading Trump by just one point.
Conducted from October 11 to 13, the Harvard CAPS/Harris poll surveyed more than 3,100 registered voters, including nearly 900 likely voters in battleground states. The results were carefully weighted to reflect various demographic factors, ensuring a balanced representation of the electorate. As both candidates head into the final stretch of the campaign, every vote will be critical, and Trump’s strategy appears to be resonating well with early voters in these vital regions.
