Kamala has flatlined.
Recent polling data reveals that Vice President Kamala Harris did not experience a significant surge in support following the Democratic National Convention, leaving the 2024 presidential race largely unchanged after the event. According to the latest ABC News/Ipsos survey released on Sunday, Harris holds a narrow four-point lead over former President Donald Trump among registered voters and all U.S. adults, at 50% to 46%. For likely voters, her lead is slightly more substantial at 52% to 46%.
Gary Langer, president of Langer Research Associates, which conducted the poll, noted that Harris did not receive a substantial post-convention boost. “The race remains tight, with no notable increase in support for Harris following her nominating convention,” Langer remarked.
Typically, candidates see a bump in support after their party conventions, where they receive widespread praise and media attention. However, Langer observed that Trump also did not gain any significant bounce after the Republican National Convention in July, indicating a “locked-in nature” of the current race.
The survey shows Harris has improved her position among women, where she now leads by 13 percentage points, up from 6 points. However, her support among men has declined. Before the convention, men supported Harris by a slim 3-point margin (49%-46%), but now Trump leads by 5 points among men (46%-51%).
On key issues, Trump maintains a lead over Harris in areas such as the economy, inflation, immigration, and the Israel-Hamas conflict, with voters expressing more trust in him on these fronts. Conversely, Harris is perceived as more capable in handling health care, defending democracy, and addressing gun violence.
Additionally, voters view Harris as “too liberal” for the presidency (46%), while fewer believe Trump is “too conservative” (43%). The poll, conducted from August 23 to August 27, has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
